Rafael Devers' Historic Struggles: Analyzing the Worst Start to an MLB Season in Decades

A deep dive into Rafael Devers' unprecedented strikeout streak to start the 2025 season, with historical comparisons and expert analysis of what's going wrong.

The Most Alarming Start in MLB History

Rafael Devers, the Boston Red Sox's three-time All-Star, is making the wrong kind of history in 2025. Through his first five games, the 28-year-old slugger has amassed 15 strikeouts without recording a single hit - shattering previous records for early-season futility.

Breaking Down the Unprecedented Struggles

  • Game 1: 0-for-4, 3 Ks
  • Game 2: 0-for-4, 4 Ks
  • Game 3: 0-for-4, 3 Ks, walk, RBI
  • Game 4: 0-for-4, 2 Ks, walk
  • Game 5: 0-for-3, 3 Ks, 2 walks

Devers has set multiple dubious records:

  1. First player with 10+ strikeouts in team's first three games
  2. Broke the 4-game strikeout record (12 Ks)
  3. Shattered the 5-game strikeout mark (15 Ks, prev. 13)

Potential Causes of the Slump

Positional Controversy:

  • Devers voiced displeasure about moving from 3B to DH after Alex Bregman's signing
  • Research shows many hitters experience a "DH penalty" in offensive production

Health Concerns:

  • Spent offseason rehabbing shoulder issues
  • Statcast shows concerning metrics:
    • Bat speed down from 72.5 mph (2024) → 70.3 mph (2025)
    • Fast-swing rate plummeted from 34.2% → 12.2%

Mechanical Issues:

  • Manager Alex Cora noted changed foot placement
  • Particularly struggling versus fastballs

Historical Context of Early Season Struggles

Worst DH Starts Since 1973: Player Year Hitless Streak Season Outcome
Don Baylor 1982 0-for-20 .263/.329/.424, 24 HR
Evan Gattis 2015 0-for-23 .246, 27 HR
Curtis Terry 2021 0-for-20 Only 13 MLB games

Most Strikeouts Through 15 Games:

  • Yoán Moncada (2018): 29 Ks
  • Miguel Sanó (2018): 29 Ks
  • Group average: .767 OPS, 20 HR
  • Warning Sign: 13 of 16 players saw OPS decline from previous year

What's Next for Devers and the Red Sox?

While manager Alex Cora dismisses concerns ("Small sample size"), the underlying metrics suggest legitimate issues:

  • Immediate Focus: Simplifying mechanics
  • Long-term Concern: Shoulder health and positional adjustment

As Red Sox Nation holds its breath, all eyes remain on whether the $331 million man can break out of baseball's most shocking early-season slump.

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