New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics: Over 206.5 Points

The total points for the first game in this series opened significantly higher than today's total, suggesting an overcorrection. Boston's historic shooting volatility on open looks indicates a statistical correction is imminent. Expect the Knicks to perform better on open looks, potentially leading to a half-court grind with more offense than the current total suggests. This low total between two top-five offensive efficiency teams is worth considering.

Derrick White Over 3.5 3-Pointers

Boston might reduce their 3-point volume to attack the paint against a Knicks frontcourt that often lacks rim protection. Derrick White could benefit from this strategy, receiving catch-and-shoot opportunities from the Celtics' All-Star wings. His size advantage over Jalen Brunson and ability to work in space make this a promising bet.

Julius Randle Over 24.5 Total Points and Assists

Julius Randle has adapted impressively to the Timberwolves' system, leading the team in potential assists with 11 per game. His high-leverage decision-making and decisive play are key reasons why Minnesota is now a serious title contender. Randle's rebounding prop, set at 6.5, also offers value for single-game plays.

Projections and Injury Reports

Boston Celtics at New York Knicks

• Line: Celtics -5.5 (-120) | Knicks 5.5 (EVEN)
• Money line: Celtics -240 | Knicks +200
• Total: 207.5 (-105 O, -115 U)
• BPI Projection: Knicks by 0.4, straight up 51%, 214.4 total points
• Injury Report:
  • Celtics: Sam Hauser (GTD - Ankle)
  • Knicks: None reported

Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors

• Line: Timberwolves -5.5 (-105) | Warriors 5.5 (-115)
• Money line: Timberwolves -215 | Warriors +180
• Total: 200.5 (-115 O, -105 U)
• BPI Projection: Timberwolves by 1.5, straight up 55%, 211.8 total points
• Injury Report:
  • Timberwolves: Rob Dillingham (GTD - Ankle)
  • Warriors: Stephen Curry (OUT - Hamstring)